HE
IRAQI MILITARY never knew what hit it. The American force that steamrolled
into Baghdad in just three weeks is vastly more
sophisticated than the one that fought and won the Gulf War just 12 years
ago. Yet what is most remarkable is that much of the gearthe tanks,
the ships, the fighters and bombersare the same platforms that
were used to run Iraq out of Kuwait in 1991. Everything's the same,
yet everything's changed.
Technology developed by engineers in university research
labs across the nation helped make the difference. All sorts of satellite,
sensor, and communication technologies that helped the United States
defeat Iraq quickly and with relatively few casualties evolved from research
conducted over the years at many American schools, including Johns Hopkins
University, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Stanford University,
and Berkeley. The Pentagon shelled out almost $1.2 billion in 2002 at
university engineering labs for basic and applied research. Interestingly,
researchers may not always be aware that their work formed the basis
for some military technologies. The convoluted trail that technology
often takes from basic research done at universities to applied applications
cooked up in the labs of the Department of Defense or its contractors
often means it can be hard to trace much of it to its origins, says Paul
Czysz, a professor emeritus of aerospace and mechanical engineering at
Saint Louis University.
University
researchers will continue to play a crucial role in the future. In
an interview with Prism, Arthur Cebrowski, director
of the Pentagon's Office of Force Transformation, outlined the broad
areas of research that he hopes engineers at America's research
universities will take up in coming years: electrical, mechanical, and
computer science. These represent the fields where the United States
military still needs improvement as well as where Cebrowski predicts
that research dollars will be available. His predictions carry weight,
particularly with Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld. I establish the
capabilities and needs with the hope that DARPA [Defense Advanced Research
Projects Agency], Defense Research and Engineering, and the scientific
community will follow, he explains. The coming years could be something
of a golden age for military research as the Pentagon tries to reinvent
the way it does business. Everything could change, from the way the military
strikes targets (old: smart bombs; new: directed-energy weapons) to the
way it moves troops and equipment (old: ships and helicopters; new: fast
airships). In general, says Cebrowski, we're at
the point of diminishing returns for systems born of the Cold War and
the industrial age.
The
American military's unmatched strengths are speed,
precision, and firepower, and it is the power of information that made
it all possible. Dramatic advancements in the ability to see the battlefield
have allowed the U.S. military to outpace opponents. The use of satellites
and global positioning systems allowed the American forces to inflict
more damage by making each strike a precise hit. The military used Unix-based
computer systems from Sun Microsystems, a company whose heritage can
be traced back to research first conducted at Stanford and Berkeley and,
in part, funded by DARPA. Satellite communications research that began
in the mid-70s at MIT's Lincoln Laboratory has resulted in voice
and data services capable of being used on the battlefield. The research
enables the military to use affordable, anti-jam communications
to networks of small tactically mobile users, according to the
lab. The global positioning system piggybacked on technology that was
devised at Johns Hopkins University's Applied Physics Lab more than
40 years ago. That technology, known as Transit, was initially used by
the Navy to give its nuclear Polaris submarines a navigational fix while
remaining submerged. But Transitwhich used only four satellites
(GPS relies on a constellation of 24)was the first satellite-based
navigation system.
And looking ahead, the military will call on engineering
researchers to correct some of the shortcomings that an otherwise successful
campaign exposed. The lessons for the future are being drawn from the
experience on the battlefields of Iraq. There was much that was new and
different about the Iraq war. The numbers tell the tale:
-
In the first Gulf War, about 7 percent of all ordnances were precision
munitions. This time, the number was about 70 percent. And those Gulf
War vintage precision munitions already seem prehistoric: Because they
were laser guided, cloud cover had the nasty habit of turning the early
smart bombs into dumb gravity bombs. Against Iraq this time, precision
munitions were guided by a constellation of GPS satellites.
-
During the Gulf War, the United States unveiled two experimental
planes called JSTARS; this time there were some 14 of the surveillance
aircraft, which can track movements of troops and tanks in real time
on the ground. And MIT also had a role in developing early versions
of the radars used by the JSTARS. Research commenced more than 25 years
ago at the Lincoln Lab led to multiple antenna surveillance radars,
which can work from fast-moving platforms and detect slow-moving targets,
despite the presence of strong ground clutter.
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During
the Gulf War, there were no unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in
the
fight. This time there were some 50, scanning for
Scud missiles
and watching every move of Iraq's army. According to the Lincoln
Lab, research conducted there in the 1980s helped develop
the moving target indicator radar for UAVs.
Seeing the Enemy
But
the real key is that these types of technology allowed the United States
military to see the battlefieldoften in real
time while its enemy could not. That level of battlefield awareness
allowed the United States to dictate the battle. The Pentagon has a new
term for what is, essentially, a classic concept: Network Centric Warfare,
which Cebrowski defines this way: We saw the power of shared awareness,
particularly in intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance, [and] very
high-speed networking. A networked forcein which the Air
Force can talk to the Army and surveillance systems can instantly share
data with attack aircraftchanges the nature of the battle. The
principal thing that gives you speed, again, is the sensing, and networking
that does that, says Cebrowski. It's the same vehicles.
Their engines don't run any faster than they were before. That was
not the limiting factor. The basic idea is that you connect the
sensors with the shooters, says John F. Leahy III, chief of staff
of Sun Microsystem's Federal, Inc. and a former Navy officer with
degrees in engineering and computer science. Last year Cebrowski told
the New York Times that the whole notion of network centric warfare was
made possible because of Sun Technologies.
On
this new battlefield, engineer-designed sensors become nearly as important
as firepower because what set the Iraq war apart
from past conflicts was the ability of the U.S. military to conduct surveillance,
analyze intelligence in real time, and immediately strike what had been
spotted. That is why unmanned aerial vehicles were among the most important
weapons systems in the war. The United States flew about 16 Predator
UAVs and a smaller number of Global Hawks. We didn't have
it in the Gulf War and used it a little in the Balkans, says Michael
Vickers, director of strategic studies at the Center for Budgetary and
Stategic Analysis, a Washington, D.C., think tank. It basically
allows you to stare at your enemy, takes away his options, and allows
you to react immediately, says Vickers. Key missions for the Predators
and Global Hawks during the war involved searching for and suppressing
the use of Scud missiles.
Predator
and Global Hawk allowed the Air Force to conduct what Vickers calls persistent surveillance, meaning
that the unmanned vehicles could linger, providing round-the-clock
coverage
of the battlefield. So while these systems were not fielded in great
numbers, their contribution was dramatic. Global Hawks, for instance,
flew about 5 percent of all intelligence missions during the conflict.
But those missions accounted for 50 percent of intelligence required
for time-sensitive targets, defined as those that needed to be hit immediately
or be lost. In some cases, the surveillance drones were also the attack
craft: Almost half of the 16 Predators in the theater of operations were
equipped with Hellfire missiles, so they could strike what they saw.
Seeing
the battlefield, then, was the first dramatic advantage American forces
had over the Iraqis. A second edge was firepower. The
aerial bombardment during the first Gulf War lasted 38 days before ground
forces attacked and began to drive Iraqi troops out of Kuwait. In the
recent war against Iraq, air strikes and ground operations occurred simultaneously,
and according to Air Force figures, far more of the sorties flown involved
strikes against targets. Much of the critical bombing was done by big
bombers, including the workhorse B-52 and the long underused B-1. Neither
of these aircraft is stealthy, like the super expensive B-2, but they
were pressed into service in this conflict to go after the Republican
Guard. They weren't plinking tanks, says Vickers. They
were whacking major formations.
Far
more of those strikes hit the targets they were supposed to hit because
far more precision munitions make up today's arsenal.
And those precision munitionsincluding Tomahawk cruise missiles
launched from ships or submarines, as well as Joint Direct Attack Munitions
dropped from aircraftwere guided to their targets by global positioning
system satellites. That meant that poor weather or sandstorms failed
to slow the air campaign. According to one estimate, the weather was
not clear for about half the days of the war. Nevertheless, U.S. forces
cancelled just 4 percent of flights during the 21 day campaign, and two
thirds of those were during a particularly intense sandstorm. It
is new when you can provide close air support under all weather conditions
and at night, says Cebrowski.
The
routine use of global positioning systems made possible the precision
strikes that characterized the air campaign; but GPS also
changed the way the Army and Marines were able to see the battlefield
from the ground. According to Anthony Cordesman, a military analyst with
the Center for Strategic and International Studies, there was about one
GPS receiver in each Army company during the first Gulf War, or about
one for every 180 soldiers. During the Iraq war, the military fielded
more than 100,000 Precision Lightweight GPS Receivers (PLGRs), which
amounted to about one for every nine ground troops. The systems help
troops navigate and avoid shooting at friendly forces. According to press
accounts, a new and improved version of the GPS systems can identify
allied forces based on their GPS coordinates, as well as spot enemy forces.
More advanced systemsincluding a hand-held modelare already
being developed.
Fast-paced
warfare puts even greater demand on engineers to help foot soldiers,
who must be able to keep pace and to see the battlefield
more clearly. The Iraq war marked one of the first instances of the creation
of what is being called the land warrior, or more simply,
the information-age grunt. Infantrymen, who some years ago would have
been lucky to have had a radio in a nine-man unit, can now speak into
the tiny boom microphones that are fast becoming standard issue for GIs,
as commonplace as the M-16 rifle or the Kevlar helmet. Everything
used to be hand signals, says Vickers. In the information
age, that's nutty. Special forces pioneered the idea of personal
communications for everyone. So now, the soldier's ensemble
includes a GPS receiver, night vision gear, and a personal communications
system. It's still expensive, says Vickers, but
to conduct a fast-moving, 24-hour-a-day war, you need communications,
you need sensors.
Engineering the Transformation
The
outcome of the war and the lessons learned from it will have important
implications for the shape of the military in coming years, and even
decades. Some of what has already caught Cebrowski's eye suggests
shortcomings with the new way of waras well as implications for
future research, development, and procurement. There are even hints of
weakness in areas of strength. For example, as noted, real-time surveillance
made it possible to spot important targets and then strike them quickly.
But the sensors work best close-in. And that presents a problem.
Says Vickers: All these assets are nonstealthy and close range.
They're only OK in a benign environment. That is why one new
program being considered aims to create a ground-tracking surveillance
system (not unlike the airborne JSTARS program) that would be based in
space. The program, called Ground-Moving Target Indicator radar, or GMTI,
would provide the persistent surveillance that was so critical in the
Iraq war without putting the systems (like Predator) in harm's way.
There
is a similar problem with precision bombing. As already noted, the
Iraq air campaign relied on heavy bombers, whose payloads pack a
big punch. And because they are long-range aircraft, they can loiter
above the battlefield until a target is identified; the strike near the
end of the war at a residential site where Saddam Hussein was believed
to be hiding was carried out thanks to a combination of timely intelligence
(in that case a human source, on the ground) and a bomber circling in
the sky, ready to strike at a moment's notice. Again, however, there
is a problem: Most of America's bomber fleet is not stealthy. B1s
and B52s cannot, on their own, penetrate enemy air defenses. That suggests
that if the United States needed to fight a more potent adversary, the
advantages of persistent surveillance and precision strikes might not
be as overwhelming. If the United States were serious about solving this
problem, the Pentagon would have to spend many billions of dollars to
design a new bomber. An exploratory project is underway at Wright Patterson
Air Force base in Ohio and aims to have something that might be built
by 2012. There are two approaches: build either a slow, subsonic plane
that is stealthy enough to loiter or build a supersonic (or even an exotic
hypersonic) plane that can respond and get to a target very, very quickly.
These programs, of course, are still a long ways off.
Other
lessons Cebrowski is drawing: Army attack helicopters did not perform
well during the war; they often took fire. In the new military,
in which each element of the armed forces may specialize in what it does
best, it may make no sense to place a slow-moving Army helicopter in
harm's way when targets can be struck from long range by the Air
Force instead. Another lesson: The weapons that will remain critical
elements of the armed forces are those that can be networked. We
have ample evidence that networked forces simply outperform forces that
are not networked. As a matter of fact, if you want to know what good
candidates are for forces to be removed from the rolls, look at those
that are incapable of being networked.
The military of the future will likely be lighter and more mobile; in
fact, the Pentagon is already reconfiguring the way it bases troops around
the globe. In Korea, for example, the United States is beginning plans
to pull back from the demilitarized zone and even reduce the number of
soldiers and airmen based on the peninsula. And it means the Army, in
particular, will have to remake itself. Its controversial Future Combat
System is at the heart of the debate: The Army would give up its heavy
tanks for lighter vehicles; in effect, ground troops would be trading
the physical protection of armor for information protection. In other
words, modern surveillance technology would allow U.S. forces to see
the enemy first, so that light armor would not be vulnerable. The Future
Combat System would also employ robotics, so that soldiers would not
be exposed.
The Role of Research
But
the real work for many scientists and engineers won't involve
weapons systems already in development. Instead, the military hopes university
scholars will play a central role by contributing basic research that
could drive the Pentagon's effort to revolutionize the armed forces.
For example, Cebrowski has identified nonlethal weaponry as a key area
for future research. We have a moral obligation to kill as few
people as possible, he says. It's terrible when you
look at an account of a security checkpoint where people were killed. A
related research field is directed-energy weaponry, which could be used
for lethal and nonlethal missions. A third area: The Pentagon is looking
to reinvent the way it maneuvers its forces. That means, in essence,
replacing the helicopter. The military is interested in an airship that
might carry up to 1,000 tons of cargo at high speed. The research might
involve materials science, among other areas. The Pentagon will be studying
research on hybrid cars to find ways to reduce fuel consumption, which
is a major burden. And the military is also interested in new ship designs,
particularly those that can alter what is called the speed/drag curve.
Breakthroughs there would allow ships to carry more, faster. Finally,
says Cebrowski, he is interested in what he calls tactically responsive
space. That means being able to put a payload into orbit on the
order of a military commander and have it play a role in battle. This
is new, he says. We're trying to change the risk calculus,
to invite new ideas, new technology, and new people. Engineering
researchers will be important players in this new army, fighting the
nation's battles the way they know best: in the labs.
Bruce Auster is a freelance writer based
in Washington, D.C.
He can be reached at bauster@asee.org.