Will FREEDOM
CAR be zipping along America's
highways in significant numbers in the next 10 years or so? That's
a goal of the Bush administration. What President George W. Bush
has dubbed Freedom Cars are fuel-cell vehicles powered by hydrogena
clean, renewable resourcewhose only emission is dribbles of
water. In his State of the Union address last January, Bush announced
plans
to commit $1.7 billion over five years toward fuel-cell car research.
Ultimately,
the energy holy grail that oil companies, automakers, and environmentalists
all say is attainable and desirable, is the so-called
hydrogen economy. In that rosy scenario, hydrogen fuel cells would not
only power vehicles but provide energy to heat and cool homes and offices.
Then it would be goodbye to the greenhouse gasesparticularly
carbon dioxidethat some scientists claim contribute to global warming
and are the noxious byproduct of the burning of fossil fuels. It also
would free us from our dependency on nonrenewable fuels like petroleum.
Fuel cells produce energy from the chemical reaction that occurs when
hydrogen is mixed with oxygen. In a hydrogen economy, the hydrogen would
be produced from water, using a process called electrolysis; the electricity
for that method would come from other clean technologies, including solar
and wind power.
That
sounds great, right? And engineering academics familiar with fuel-cell
technology certainly don't dispute the likelihood
that a hydrogen economy is in our future. Eventually. They suspect that
it may be a generation away. And they certainly don't expect to
see mass production of hydrogen-powered cars within a decade or so. To
say we can have hydrogen cars in 12 years is nuts, says John B.
Heywood, director of the Sloan Automotive Lab at the Massachusetts Institute
of Technology. Yann G. Guezennec, a professor of mechanical engineering
at Ohio State University's Center for Automotive Research, predicts
that in 10 years time, there will mainly be demonstration fuel-cell vehicles,
a few bus fleets, and some limited production cars costing nearly $80,000. But
you are looking at 2020, at a minimum before there is production
of between 15,000 to 30,000 hydrogen cars a year.
Why
so long? Well, certainly fuel-cell technology is not yet ready
for prime time (more on that later). The biggest hurdle to
overcome, however, is a lack of hydrogen distribution infrastructure
and for that matter, hydrogen itself. As Guezennec points out: Hydrogen
is the most abundant element in the universe, but there are no hydrogen
wells. Drivers today take for granted that they are rarely
far from a gas station where they can filler up fairly
economically. Our petroleum-based infrastructure that pumps oil from
beneath the grounds
or ocean beds of such far-flung locales as Saudi Arabia, Alaska,
and Europe's North Sea and converts it to readily available
gasoline is nearly a century old now. And it's efficient. To
create a new hydrogen network from scratch will not only take time
but plenty of money.
Friedrich Prinz, a professor of chemical engineering at Stanford
University, says such a network could perhaps cost a trillion dollars, and
today, that's not feasible. It also presents a classic
chicken-and-egg dilemma: Energy companies won't invest in building
an infrastructure until they're confident there will be enough
hydrogen cars to use it; and auto manufacturers are reluctant to
mass produce cars that aren't
easily refueled.
While
hydrogen is clean, current methods for obtaining it are not. Most
hydrogen is produced from natural gas or coal, and
the dreaded carbon
dioxide is a byproduct. The
real question is, Can we produce hydrogen sensibly at a manageable
cost?' Heywood
explains. The ideas that we have now are primitive and not very developed. And,
true, electrolysis is a super clean technology. But 85 percent of our electric
power today comes from fossil-fuel plants. So using electrolysis to make
clean hydrogen in, say, Atlanta, is pointless if the electricity is coming
from a
coal-fired plant 70 miles out of town. As Guezennec says, It's
displaced pollution.
That
means we also need simultaneous breakthroughs in solar (photovoltaic)
and wind technologies. Solar cells that most effectively
convert light to energy need high-grade silicon semiconductors, and
that's
expensive. Thin-film technology that relies on amorphous silicon
is cheaper, but it's also less reliable and the film quickly
degrades. But new types of stronger, more efficient thin-film cells
that use cadmium teluride
or copper indium diselenide are starting to appear. Advances in the
manufacturing of wind turbines make wind energy promising. Already
in some European
countries, like Britain, electricity generated from catching the
wind is competitively priced.
Capturing
hydrogen from the natural gas produced at oil wellheads may be
another option. The resulting carbon dioxide could be sequestered, or
injected into the earth, a process that also makes the pumping of
the oil more efficient. But as MIT's Heywood points out, we're
not sure that shunting massive amounts of carbon into the ground
is environmentally benign. And at the end of the day, the idea is
to move away from fossil
fuels entirely.
One
of Prinz's chemical engineering colleagues
at Stanford, Jim Swartz, is working with a team on a hydrogen
genesis project . . . a direct pathway to capture solar energy and
convert it to hydrogen using microorganisms. An
enzyme called hydrogenase is very efficient at collecting sunlight
and converting it into hydrogen, Swartz explains. The problem is
the process also produces oxygen, which kills the enzyme. So his team wants
to bioengineer
a version of the enzyme resistant to oxygen. If it succeeds at that, it
must then design a bioconverter. Swartz envisions energy farms, several
square miles of untillable land that would be set aside for the collection
of sunlight and its conversion to hydrogen. We've got significant
amounts of land not suitable for agriculture that could be used, Swartz
says. The problem with producing hydrogen in remote areasfrom wellheads
or energy farmsis one of transport. How do you get it to where
people want it? Heywood asks. You can build hydrogen pipelines, but
they're
hard to manage.
Another
possible solution is to initially piggyback on the existing oil-based
infrastructure. Hydrogen could be produced in
the cars themselves using onboard reformers that convert either gasoline
or methanol to hydrogen. The advantage would be getting consumers used
to driving hydrogen-powered cars with the hope that eventually petroleum-based
hydrogen would be replaced by a more cleanly derived fuel. The obvious
issue is that onboard reformers still produce carbon dioxide. As Guezennec
says, It's an expensive exercise . . . that would produce
cars that are not much better than the (internal-combustion engine) cars
we produce today.
Sticker Shock
Fuel
cells are not cutting-edge technology. They were invented in 1839 in
England. But the first practical application didn't come
until the 1960s, when NASA used them on its Apollo and Gemini rockets,
at astronomical expense. But advances in materials and technology in
the 90s have made them feasible. Says Guezennec: Fuel cells
are for real. The make or break issue is not the science, it's the
cost. Fuel cells are still very expensive. Walter Russell, an assistant
professor of civil and construction engineering at Iowa State University,
says the cost of generating a kilowatt of power from a fuel cell is $4,500.
A diesel generator will do the job for about $350, while an auto engine
can do it using just $50 of gasoline. Manufacturing of fuel cells on
a larger scale will ultimately cut costs. Once you find one market
for fuel cells it drives down the costs by increasing production, Russell
says.
Other
problems that need to be addressed include size and weight, temperature,
and the purity of the fuel source. Today's
fuel cells are big and bulky. And they are susceptible to cold weather,
because they require a certain amount of humidity to work. And heat's
an issue, as well. Jason Keith, an assistant professor of chemical engineering
at Michigan Tech, says fuel cells are typically stacked to produce enough
power, and as you scale up, they get warmer, from the chemical
reaction. That heat has to be controlled. And most fuel cells require
pure hydrogen. If trace amounts of carbon dioxide remain in the hydrogen, that
will poison the catalyst within the membrane, Keith says.
Onboard
storage of hydrogen isn't easy, either. In
its compressed form, hydrogen is the most flammable chemical there is, Keith
says. Indubitably, the gasoline we lug around in our cars today is also
highly explosive, but well-designed fuel tanks mitigate the risk. Eventually,
hydrogen tanks can be made just as safe. But the technology still requires
some upgrades. High-pressure hydrogen tanks now available are heavy and
of limited capacity. It's also possible to store hydrogen as a liquid,
but that requires keeping it at very low temperatures, and that
poses significant technology issues, Prinz says. One promising
solution is storing it as a solid within metal hydrides that release
the gas as they're heated. But that's a fairly slow process,
and we're used to cars that start in an instant and are ready to
roll. The answer may be the addition of a battery that can store enough
power to start and run a car for the few minutes it takes for the hydrides
to release their hydrogen.
A
possible scenario for breaking through the which-comes-first impasse
is initially
using fuel cells to power buildingsparticularly
office buildingswhere weight and bulkiness matter less. Hydrogen
would be produced in situ, using electrolysis. Eventually, some of the
hydrogen that's produced could be used by fuel-cell vehicles, most
likely corporate fleet cars. Those cars, because it's environmentally
benign for them to continuously idle, could be plugged in to generate
power to feed the grid, providing owners with a revenue stream that helps
defray their cost. Ultimately, the growing use of fuel cells and hydrogen-powered
cars would bring down prices, creating bigger markets and stand-alone
hydrogen filling stations.
That
plan sounds feasible, but it's decades away,
engineering academics say. In the short term, many would like the government
to do more to promote hybrid cars. Hybrids combine gasoline engines with
small electric motors that kick in when the cars accelerate or need a
power boost, and they are capable of obtaining 60 to 70 miles per gallon.
So far, only Toyota and Honda have introduced hybrids, but other automakers
are planning to market them, as well. Currently, consumers pay a premium
of around $5,000 for a hybrid compared with a similar gas model. That
premium is so hefty that it can't be fully amortized by the resulting
savings in fuel. Nevertheless, a recent MIT report coauthored by Heywood
said that because there are no clean methods for producing hydrogen,
for the time being, fuel-cell cars are not as environmentally friendly
as hybrids. He'd like to see more government incentives to expand
the hybrid market while the technology for hydrogen production evolves.
If hybrids become more popular, the premium will fall to a point where
the fuel savings will compensate for the extra cost. Also, Yann notes,
the electronics used in hybrids can be used in fuel-cell cars, as well. It
builds on a common technology.
Hybrid
cars, engineering academics say, are a bridge
technology, a means of getting from A to C not by one big leap
but by first taking a smaller step to B. And many believe the bridge
it offers is the best route toward making the Freedom Car a reality.
Thomas K. Grose is a freelance writer based
in Washington, D.C.
He can be reached at tgrose@asee.org